If Gary Ablett can keep playing in his current manor until the end of the season then He's a certainty.
Gary Ablett has probably already won it people, Mark my words
Yep, he is a proven vote getter, Watsons in the same boat, but Gazza for me
Watson is best chance right now. Roughead is a good smokey
I think Steve Johnson will feel pretty hard done by as he was in the running without a doubt. Ablett should get it though - I would venture that so far he would have received at least one vote in pretty much every game and is likely to have maybe 4 or 5 BOGs so he should be sitting close to 20. Most of the other favourites have been very patchy like Dangermouse, Barlow, Fyfe, Watson (and obviously the other issues probably lose him votes anyway), Cotchin and Selwood have been tagged out a fair bit. Overall I reckon Hanneberry is the best chance of upsetting Ablett but he'd have a lot of ground to make up. Being a Geelong fan I get to see this guy more than most I suppose but Jimmy Bartel may be a smokey if Ablett fell in a heap or got suspended for example - he's probably polled in a fair few games and would have a couple of BOGs + he's a proven vote winner.
Haven't seen too much of the dog's this year but from what i have seen Ryan Griffin might be up there. Even in the loosing side on the weekend i think he will get at least two votes his last quater was amazing.
